Sunday, August 27, 2006

Will the U.S. attack Iran?

Will the so-called "crisis" over Iran's so-called "nuclear ambitions" lead to an attack or invasion or "liberation" of Iran by the U.S.?

My answer: No.

Sure, there may be some scenarios where the U.S. could perform surgical strikes against specific facilities, but I don't see any realistic scenarios for a full scale (or even partial scale) invasion.

I see the administration's policy intent as simply to keep a lot of heat and attention focused on Iran. It does appear that the administration accepts that there is only so much that they can do, but they also remain committed to not simply turning a blind eye to Iran and the security concerns of Israel.

BTW, we're not going to be invading Syria either.

-- Jack Krupansky


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