Any surprises in store in South Carolina?

The Democratic primary polls are closing right about now in South Carolina. The Intrade Prediction Market is currently indicating that Barack has a 98% chance of winning and Hillary has a 2.5% chance of winning. We'll see what really happens.

The important thing is the margin of victory. Will Hillary lose (or win) by only a modest margin, or will Barack win by a landslide and actually build up some momentum? It is unfortunate that Intrade does not have a market for the "spread."

-- Jack Krupansky